BFC Daugavpils vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 2
VAL
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
RTU
0 - 2
BFC
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BFC
6 - 0
STA
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BFC
7 - 1
RTU
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FKT
4 - 1
BFC
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 1
AUD
28%
24%
49%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
VAL
4 - 2
SMI
77%
14%
8%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
GRO
5 - 1
SMI
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 3
SMI
15%
19%
66%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
STA
0 - 0
SMI
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |