BFC Daugavpils vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
6º
5º
17
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 52.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
BFC
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 4
VLZ
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FSL
2 - 4
BFC
6%
12%
82%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
VLZ
0 - 1
BFC
40%
25%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 4
RIG
22%
24%
55%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 4
FSM
9%
14%
78%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 1
FSM
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
FKT
39%
24%
36%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FSM
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |