BFC Daugavpils vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
6º
5º
12
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 76 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 74 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 57 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 55 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 48 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 43 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 40 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 39 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 34 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 31 |
10º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 54% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
4 - 2
LIE
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 1
SUP
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
4 - 1
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 1
AUD
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
BFC
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKJ
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
1 - 0
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 4
FSM
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |