BFC Daugavpils vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
36
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
BFC
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
GRO
38%
25%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 0
FKJ
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
LIE
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 4
AUD
24%
26%
49%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
AUD
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |