BFC Daugavpils vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
BFC
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
BFC
73%
18%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
31%
24%
46%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 1
FSM
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
13%
22%
65%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
FSM
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
FSM
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |