BFC Daugavpils vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 4
BFC
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
77%
17%
6%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 3
FKT
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
FKT
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
2 - 3
FSM
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
FSM
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 0
RIG
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
FSM
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |