BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
6º
5º
15
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 74 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 45 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 40 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 39 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 35 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FSM
2 - 2
BFC
34%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
4 - 1
BFC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 1
BFC
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 1
FKJ
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 4
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 5
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 0
FKT
47%
22%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |