BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
6º
5º
35
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 1
SUP
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
4 - 1
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 1
AUD
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
BFC
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 2
RIG
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKJ
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 5
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HLI
3 - 3
LIE
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |