BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
39
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
PRA
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
GRO
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
VAL
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
LIE
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |