BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
39
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
RIG
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
BFC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
LIE
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |