BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
62.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
BFC
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
14%
23%
62%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 0
VAL
13%
21%
67%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 2
FSM
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKT
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
FKJ
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |