BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
6º
5º
27
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 81 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 32 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 1
BFC
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
BFC
0 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
RIG
5 - 1
BFC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
GRO
1 - 0
BFC
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
FKJ
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FKJ
3 - 1
AUD
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 2
RIG
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 0
GRO
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |