BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 0
LIE
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
RIG
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |