BFC Daugavpils vs Daugava Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FSM
1 - 0
BFC
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 1
LIE
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FKS
0 - 1
BFC
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 2
BFC
39%
23%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
BFC
5 - 1
FSM
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 0
FKD
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FKD
1 - 2
FCS
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 1
FKD
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VEN
2 - 0
FKD
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
FKD
2 - 1
FKS
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +3 |