BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
6º
5º
61
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 82 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 79 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 59% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
RIG
5 - 1
BFC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
GRO
1 - 0
BFC
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 0
FSM
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
4 - 2
LIE
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
CAR
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 1
CAR
44%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
GRO
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |