BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
87
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
RIG
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
FSM
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
BFC
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
GRO
38%
25%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
DTE
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
CAR
13%
21%
66%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
LIE
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
CAR
53%
21%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |