BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
62.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 0
VAL
13%
21%
67%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 2
FSM
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
BFC
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |