BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
FSM
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 3
BFC
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
FKJ
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUD
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |