BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
58
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 5
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
CAR
11%
22%
67%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
VAL
8%
17%
75%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 3
FKT
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
0 - 0
AUD
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
RIG
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
AUD
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |