Bezau vs Koblach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
15º
11º
27
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bezau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
5 - 5
FCH
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HIT
1 - 0
BEZ
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
2 - 5
HAR
26%
21%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCH
4 - 1
BEZ
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 1
SCF
44%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Koblach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KBL
2 - 1
AUS
19%
18%
63%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KBL
3 - 5
LUD
37%
22%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 2
KBL
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KBL
1 - 3
ALB
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
6 - 1
KBL
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |