Bex vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
TER
3 - 0
BEX
90%
8%
3%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BEX
3 - 1
COL
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +3 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SBC
1 - 1
BEX
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FCM
5 - 1
BEX
95%
4%
1%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BEX
0 - 2
INT
10%
15%
76%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
INT
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
PER
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
FCM
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
CSC
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VEY
1 - 0
PER
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |