Bex vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 1
BEX
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BEX
0 - 4
STA
11%
19%
70%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
UGS
2 - 0
BEX
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BEX
0 - 0
TPA
41%
25%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
BEX
2 - 1
MEY
22%
24%
55%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
FRI
3 - 1
NAT
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
STA
2 - 0
FRI
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
FRI
1 - 1
UGS
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
TPA
1 - 0
FRI
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
FRI
1 - 0
SIO
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |