Bex vs Bulle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FCS
2 - 2
BEX
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BEX
2 - 0
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FCM
3 - 0
BEX
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BEX
2 - 2
FRI
27%
25%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 1
BEX
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bulle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BUL
2 - 0
NAT
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
STA
1 - 0
BUL
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BUL
2 - 4
UGS
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
TPA
4 - 3
BUL
20%
22%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BUL
2 - 2
SIO
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |