Bettembourg vs Marisca Mersch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
3º
58
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bettembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 2
BET
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 7
BET
15%
19%
66%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BET
4 - 1
LXC
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JEU
0 - 3
BET
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 3
BET
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
RUM
31%
23%
47%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 3
MAR
16%
19%
65%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
MAR
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
ATE
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAM
3 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |