Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 2-2
Beşiktaş vs LASK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BJK
6 - 0
B36
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
B36
0 - 2
BJK
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
BJK
3 - 1
KRA
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
BJK
2 - 2
REA
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
CSK
4 - 1
BJK
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
LASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LAS
0 - 0
SKN
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
LSK
1 - 2
LAS
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
RBS
3 - 1
LAS
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
LAS
4 - 0
LSK
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
LAS
1%
3%
96%
|
79 | 30 | 49 | 0 |