Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 6-0
Beşiktaş vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BUC
0 - 1
BJK
25%
26%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
BJK
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
BJK
3 - 0
VKP
58%
23%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
VKP
1 - 1
BJK
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
VIK
0 - 4
BJK
17%
22%
62%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
HJK
0 - 1
HON
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
OUL
1 - 1
HJK
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
HJK
1 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
HJK
3 - 0
VAA
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
HJK
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |