Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 4-1
Beşiktaş vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BJK
2 - 3
ANT
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
BJK
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
BJK
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
LAS
2 - 1
BJK
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BJK
2 - 1
AKB
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MAV
1 - 3
PAR
10%
22%
68%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
BJK
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 2
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ZEM
0 - 1
PAR
11%
23%
66%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 2
PAR
47%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |