Beşiktaş vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FAT
0 - 1
BJK
36%
24%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 3
BJK
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 2
BJK
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
BJK
3 - 1
TIR
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
BJK
2 - 1
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
SEB
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 3
BJK
14%
22%
64%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
FKN
17%
26%
58%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
ZEL
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 2
FKN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |