Albanian Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Besa Kavajë vs Veleçiku Koplik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BES
1 - 1
MAM
61%
22%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KRU
1 - 1
BES
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
BES
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BES
1 - 1
TER
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 0
BES
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Veleçiku Koplik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BES
5 - 0
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
ILI
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
BES
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KAM
0 - 3
VEL
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
BUT
46%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |