Besa Kavajë vs Luzi 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
11º
9º
31
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
BES
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
BES
3 - 2
SOP
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BES
1 - 2
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
4 - 1
BES
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
ELB
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 3
APO
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BUT
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
LUZ
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 1
VOR
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 0
LUZ
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |