Besa Kavajë vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+140%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VOR
0 - 1
BES
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BES
2 - 0
LUS
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
POG
2 - 0
BES
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
5 - 1
BES
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BES
1 - 1
KOR
34%
28%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
APO
1 - 0
BUT
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 0
APO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
APO
1 - 1
FLA
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
APO
0 - 1
TER
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 1
APO
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |