Berrón vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
BER
39%
26%
36%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BER
1 - 3
LEN
19%
25%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 0
BER
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BER
1 - 2
CAN
38%
26%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AND
3 - 0
BER
74%
17%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
RAY
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 3
UCO
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 0
NAL
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
6 - 0
UCO
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 2
NAV
38%
25%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |