Berriew FC vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berriew FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
4 - 1
BFC
81%
12%
8%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 4
BFC
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RHO
2 - 1
BFC
11%
17%
73%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 0
BFC
26%
22%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +5 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BFC
1 - 1
LLA
22%
23%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AIR
2 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
LLA
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
FLI
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |