Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-2
Beroe vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
RAD
0 - 2
BER
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
BER
0 - 0
RAD
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
LSO
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LUD
0 - 2
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
BER
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
2 - 0
PSK
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
1 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
HJK
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
FCL
0 - 3
HJK
34%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SEI
2 - 3
HJK
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |