Beroe vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KAL
3 - 1
BER
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BER
1 - 2
CHB
34%
30%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
3 - 0
BER
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BER
1 - 2
LUD
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 1
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 0
LPL
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 5
CSK
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
CSK
1 - 1
STB
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 2
CSK
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
STB
2 - 0
CSK
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |