Bermuda Hogges vs Long Island Rough Riders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda Hogges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
OCE
4 - 0
BER
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
REA
4 - 0
BER
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
CJS
3 - 1
BER
75%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
NJL
3 - 1
BER
59%
20%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
CJS
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Long Island Rough Riders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
CJS
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
LON
1 - 2
OCE
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
LON
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
JER
1 - 0
LON
52%
22%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NJL
1 - 3
LON
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |