Bermuda Hogges vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda Hogges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
BER
3 - 1
WES
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
BAL
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
BER
3 - 1
LON
14%
21%
65%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +7 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
OCE
4 - 0
BER
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
REA
4 - 0
BER
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
WES
1 - 6
JER
14%
20%
67%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
JER
1 - 1
REA
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
JER
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
OCE
0 - 2
JER
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 2
JER
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |