Bermuda Hogges vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda Hogges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
BER
3 - 3
CJS
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
BKN
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
BER
2 - 4
LON
16%
22%
61%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
REA
2 - 0
BER
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CJS
1 - 0
BER
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
JER
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
JER
3 - 1
CJS
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
WES
0 - 4
JER
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
JER
2 - 2
LON
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
JER
2 - 0
NJL
83%
12%
6%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |