BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
ROS
5 - 0
BFC
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
BFC
3 - 0
CHL
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
BFC
3 - 1
BWA
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 0
BFC
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
BFC
3 - 2
ERF
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
ERF
0 - 3
ZWI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
ERF
0 - 3
CZJ
25%
28%
48%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
FVF
1 - 2
ERF
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
BFC
3 - 2
ERF
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |