Berlare vs Excelsior Mariakerke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
13º
9º
31
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berlare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 1
BER
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HAA
1 - 1
BER
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
GBG
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KHZ
2 - 2
BER
26%
21%
54%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BER
3 - 3
KSK
14%
23%
64%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KSC
0 - 0
KSK
14%
22%
64%
|
25 | 73 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GBG
1 - 1
KSC
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KSC
1 - 3
EEN
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KTB
1 - 1
KSC
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KSC
1 - 3
SKM
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |