Berkum vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VOL
4 - 2
BER
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BER
4 - 0
NOO
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FLE
3 - 1
BER
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
AZS
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BER
5 - 0
NOO
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SWI
0 - 0
HZV
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NSC
1 - 4
SWI
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 3
GEN
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
EEM
3 - 3
SWI
51%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SWI
6 - 0
BUI
83%
11%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |