Berkum vs PKC .83 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NUN
3 - 0
BER
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BER
0 - 0
HZV
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BER
1 - 3
DET
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ONS
0 - 0
BER
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BER
1 - 2
ORA
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
PKC .83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ONS
1 - 1
PKC
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PKC
1 - 4
ACV
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
STA
2 - 1
PKC
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PKC
0 - 5
WHC
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DVS
3 - 1
PKC
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |