Berkum vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 2
BER
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DET
0 - 2
BER
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BER
3 - 5
NUN
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FCZ
1 - 2
BER
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BER
0 - 0
KHC
61%
18%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WVF
1 - 3
GOA
12%
19%
69%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GOA
3 - 1
SPA
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WHC
1 - 2
GOA
46%
22%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GOA
1 - 4
BEQ
81%
12%
6%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
KHC
3 - 2
GOA
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |