Berkum vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PKC
3 - 0
BER
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BER
4 - 1
ACV
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 2
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 0
BER
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FLE
2 - 1
BER
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
0 - 2
EXC
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
1 - 2
ACV
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
APE
1 - 0
GOA
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
PKC
4 - 0
GOA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
1 - 9
HAR
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |