Berkum vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
APE
1 - 2
BER
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BER
1 - 2
AJA
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BER
0 - 1
HZV
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
HUI
0 - 0
BER
46%
23%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BER
0 - 4
EEM
64%
19%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
URK
69%
17%
15%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SDC
2 - 0
EXC
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
HZV
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
GEN
63%
18%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
ZUI
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |