Berkhamsted vs Walthamstow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
1º
8º
1º
63
2º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berkhamsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BER
5 - 0
BAR
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HIG
1 - 4
BER
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
KID
0 - 4
BER
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
CIR
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Walthamstow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 0
CIR
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
WAL
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 1
AYL
62%
19%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 0
WAL
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 4
HAD
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |