Berkhamsted vs AFC Sudbury analysis

Berkhamsted AFC Sudbury
33 ELO 45
-5% Tilt 2.2%
8784º General ELO ranking 8076º
404º Country ELO ranking 338º
ELO win probability
23.9%
Berkhamsted
24.1%
Draw
51.9%
AFC Sudbury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
Berkhamsted
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.9%
Win probability
AFC Sudbury
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Berkhamsted
Their league position
AFC Sudbury
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
22º
21º
46
11º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Telford United
86
86
32.5%
Needham Market
85
85
45%
Mickleover Sports FC
84
85
56.5%
Leamington
72
73
64.5%
Redditch United
70
70
36%
Stratford Town
69
70
35.5%
Stamford
67
68
41%
Nuneaton Town
20º
34
66
25%
St Ives Town
64
64
69%
Halesowen Town
62
62
10º
61.5%
Royston Town
10º
57
58
11º
69%
Coalville Town
11º
55
56
12º
46.5%
Stourbridge
14º
52
55
13º
9.5%
Barwell
13º
54
55
14º
45%
Leiston
12º
55
55
15º
3.5%
Kettering Town
15º
48
48
16º
99%
AFC Sudbury
16º
46
46
17º
65%
Alvechurch FC
17º
45
45
18º
49.5%
Bromsgrove Sporting
18º
44
44
19º
64.5%
Hitchin Town
19º
43
43
20º
100%
Berkhamsted
21º
24
24
21º
89.5%
Long Eaton United
22º
22
22
22º
89.5%
Expected probabilities
Berkhamsted
AFC Sudbury
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 94.5%
Relegation
100% 5.5%

ELO progression

Berkhamsted
AFC Sudbury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Berkhamsted
Berkhamsted
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2023
STO
Stourbridge
6 - 0
Berkhamsted
BER
71%
18%
11%
36 49 13 0
16 Dec. 2023
BER
Berkhamsted
2 - 2
Stamford
STA
15%
21%
64%
36 50 14 0
09 Dec. 2023
LON
Long Eaton United
1 - 0
Berkhamsted
BER
25%
22%
53%
37 27 10 -1
25 Nov. 2023
BER
Berkhamsted
0 - 2
St Ives Town
STI
27%
25%
48%
38 45 7 -1
18 Nov. 2023
HAL
Halesowen Town
2 - 1
Berkhamsted
BER
63%
20%
16%
38 46 8 0

Matches

AFC Sudbury
AFC Sudbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2023
YEL
AFC Sudbury
4 - 2
Nuneaton Town
NUN
19%
23%
58%
42 52 10 0
16 Dec. 2023
RED
Redditch United
2 - 1
AFC Sudbury
YEL
54%
23%
23%
43 47 4 -1
09 Dec. 2023
YEL
AFC Sudbury
0 - 0
Stratford Town
STR
31%
25%
43%
43 48 5 0
25 Nov. 2023
YEL
AFC Sudbury
1 - 2
Stourbridge
STO
26%
24%
50%
44 50 6 -1
21 Nov. 2023
COA
Coalville Town
0 - 3
AFC Sudbury
YEL
83%
12%
6%
41 56 15 +3