Bergum vs Stevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DIO
0 - 1
BER
13%
20%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FVC
4 - 3
BER
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BER
4 - 0
GRO
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DAL
0 - 1
BER
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BER
0 - 7
VVE
30%
24%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
ACH
37%
24%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
0 - 2
STE
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
STE
1 - 2
JOU
42%
24%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STE
0 - 3
FVC
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 3
STE
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |