Bergum vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 2
BER
67%
18%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LAC
0 - 1
BER
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
VVE
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BER
1 - 4
SCE
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
VOO
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
WOL
0 - 2
FVC
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
VVE
0 - 3
FVC
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FVC
1 - 2
SCE
54%
21%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FVC
4 - 1
ONB
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FVC
8 - 1
VEL
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |