Bergum vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
BER
1 - 3
SVB
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SCE
3 - 0
BER
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
GRC
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HOO
2 - 0
BER
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BER
1 - 5
ACH
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
FVC
1 - 2
NIE
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FVC
3 - 2
HOO
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FVC
3 - 2
VVA
38%
24%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ACH
0 - 1
FVC
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FVC
0 - 0
MSC
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |